Summary
Due to COVID-19 shutdowns, oil markets are hopelessly oversupplied and conventional storage has rapidly filled.
We saw the brutal reality of this storage crunch with May WTI futures imploding yesterday, collapsing below negative $30/bbl.
Although the May trading was limited, this is indicative of the lack of available storage. June futures are closer to $21/bbl.
Last week’s EIA data (10 April data) suggests Cushing will hit capacity between end-April and mid-May. Gasoline stocks are already at record highs.
Biggest winner? Crude tanker companies. We called it six weeks ago and the trade has unfolded more beautifully than I imagined. What to buy now?
