I am an INVESTOR not an INVENTOR
I recently wrote a post, “Why I Sold Premier Exhibitions,” and I received a comment asking whether Premier Exhibitions was my idea. I couldn’t believe this comment because I truly don’t care. What matters to me is that I doubled my money on this investment and those who followed my advice in the January issue of Ultimate Value Finder also doubled their money. Whether the idea came from another investor, blogger, or my grandma does not matter. “Plagiarism” is ok in investing. Actually, it is highly encouraged.
I started writing about investing in 2009. My first blog entry on Classic Value Investors Blog was on June 18, 2009. It was about a company called Arctic Cat. This company is special to me because it was my first public write-up. You can find it here. At the time that I bought it, the stock was trading for approximately $4 per share. Today, it is over $43 per share (I sold at $18 per share). You know who told me about this company? The editor of my book, Why Are We So Clueless about the Stock Market?. If I had a policy of only investing in companies that I “discovered,” I would have missed an incredible investment opportunity.
Let’s look at another fantastic investment that I totally “plagiarized” – Mitcham Industries. I bought it in 2009 for $5 per share after reading about it on Value Investors Club. Today, it is trading for almost $25 per share and I still hold it because I am convinced that it is going to $50 per share (write-up of this company is included in the sample issue of Ultimate Value Finder). The funny part is that I suspect that the person who “discovered it” made much less money than I did because he sold it much earlier. It is much more exciting to chase new ideas than to sit tight and stick with the old ideas.
Premier Exhibitions is no different. I “plagiarized” it big time. I can’t even remember where I read about it first because it was written about so many times. It was written about six times on SumZero and three times on Value Investors Club. Even Whitney Tilson owned it. However, even though so many value investors knew about it, few of them made money on it. According to GuruFocus, Whitney Tilson was buying it in 2010 and 2011 for between $1.07 and $1.89 per share. Then, he sold right before the payday of prices between $1.47 and $1.90 per share. Another person who wrote about it in the middle of 2011 when the stock price was around $1.80 per share managed to lose money by selling lower even though the stock price went to $3.75 per share.
At the end of the day, it does not matter where you get your investment ideas from. What matters is whether you make money on them. You are an INVESTOR, not an INVENTOR.
Monument Mining: A One Foot Hurdle
This article has been written by Steven Reiman who recently graduated with a degree in Finance from the University of Connecticut and currently works as a financial analyst. He focuses on value investing with a preference for small, under followed companies. Enjoy reading his work.
Monument Mining was brought to my attention by the website ClassicValueInvestors, a site run by Seekingalpha member Mariusz Skonieczny. I read many financial blogs and websites and I find Mr. Skonieczny’s site to be in the top percentile in terms of original ideas and quality analysis. I encourage anyone who has not done so to give the site a visit.
Back to the subject at hand. Monument Mining is a gold mining production and exploration company that is headquartered in Canada but whose operations occur entirely in Malaysia. The easiest way to understand what type of discount Monument is selling for is by taking stock of all of the company’s current and prospective Malaysian mining properties. After that, the only thing left to do is ponder how the market could tolerate such an underpriced company. Read more »
Why I Sold Premier Exhibitions
In the January Issue of Ultimate Value Finder, I included Premier Exhibitions as one of three investment ideas. Since then, the stock has more than doubled. However, over the last few days, the stock price declined from $3.75 per share to as low as $2.58 per share. As a result of the sharp price decline, I received several e-mails about whether I am buying, holding, or selling Premier Exhibitions.
I sold my entire position at the end of March for approximately $3.20 per share. The reason why I sold it was because the price ran up so much so quickly that I did not find the risk and reward scenario appealing anymore. I ran the following back-of-the-envelope calculation:
$190 million for artifacts + $100 million for salvage rights = $290 million
$290 million – 10% for auction fees and CEO’s incentive compensation = $261 million
$261 – 30% for taxes = $183 million/48 million shares = $3.80 per share
At $3.20 per share, I faced the following options:
- Take $3.20 per share and reinvest in something else, or
- Wait for the auction results to get $3.80 per share while facing the possibility of an unsuccessful auction
I chose option number one.
Yes, the Titanic artifacts could sell for much more but I am not in the business of buying undervalued companies and hoping to sell them when they become overvalued. I am in the business of buying extremely undervalued companies and selling them when they become reasonably priced.
A 10-Year-Old Boy’s Solution to The Euro Crisis, In 1 Picture
Dear Sir and Madam,
My name is Jurre Hermans. I am 10 years old and live in the Netherlands. I am quite worried about the eurocrisis and look at the TV news daily. The eurocrisis is a big problem. I think about solutions. … I made a picture of my solution and I will explain it to you.
A British businessman is offering a £250,000 prize for the person who comes up with the best plan for a country to leave the euro. Finalists for the prize were announced this morning.
There was also an honorable mention for the youngest entrant, Jurre Hermans, who says he’s 10. Here’s the picture he submitted with his entry:
Click here to read the rest of the article.
Two Interviews with Robert Baldock from the 12th IRC in Zurich
Yukon-Nevada Gold
Monument Mining
April Issue of Ultimate Value Finder is Released
The April issue of Ultimate Value Finder is out. I covered three investment opportunities:
Investment Opportunity 1
The first opportunity featured is very interesting. The company is simply a holding company that owns a minority interest in another company that is on the verge of changing its business dynamics. Currently it is marginally profitable. However, within a few weeks a specific event will cause the margins to increase dramatically which will allow it to be significantly more profitable. Once this happens, the value of the company will increase at least threefold.
Investment Opportunity 2
Investment Opportunity 2 is an information services provider with an outstanding business model. It is almost a perfect business because the company sells a product that customers desperately need on a regular basis, faces very little competition, and has pricing power. Even though the business is high quality, the stock is very cheap.
Investment Opportunity 3
The third opportunity is a REIT (Real Estate Investment Trust) with a fantastic property portfolio. The company is trading for less than the replacement value of the combined properties. Only in the stock market is such silliness possible. You would never be able to buy these properties so cheap in the private market.
If you already subscribed to Ultimate Value Finder, then you already received a separate e-mail with the full April issue. If you didn’t subscribe yet, but wish to do so, click here.
John Paulson Has A Problem…
As long as it’s his problem, it could be a problem for all of us as well. Let me note that I have never met Paulson, but I certainly admire his skill at navigating the markets in 2008 and before then. Unfortunately, in 2009 and 2010, lots of other investors also admired his skills. His funds ballooned with new capital that he deployed into sizable positions in a number of companies—particularly a handful of gold stocks. This was all great on the upside, now his investors are disappointed with his recent performance, and they want their money back. To give them back capital, he has to sell something. The problem is that he has a number of concentrated positions, if he sells, the prices will collapse and his performance will again suffer which will create more redemption pressure and force him to sell more shares. It’s a vicious cycle that isn’t easily broken once it starts. It only ends when it finally runs its course. It sure is annoying to be a shareholder in anything that he owns while it is ongoing.
To read the rest, click here.
Aurcana Corporation is Putting Shafter Into Production within Four Weeks
Aurcana Corporation is putting Shafter into production within four weeks. With Shafter the company will cash flow over $100 million per year while the market cap is still about $300 million. The following is the newest video:
http://www.b-tv.com/features/watch-now.html?clip=AurcanaMar12.wmv








